Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.731794e-05 2.112742e-05 0.000025 0.000030 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049
2025-07-06 1.151535e-05 1.602482e-05 0.000021 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000058
2025-07-13 8.317555e-06 1.304631e-05 0.000019 0.000027 0.000038 0.000050 0.000066
2025-07-20 6.359396e-06 1.115063e-05 0.000018 0.000027 0.000039 0.000055 0.000075
2025-07-27 5.002218e-06 9.763596e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000041 0.000060 0.000084
2025-08-03 4.418425e-06 9.397746e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000045 0.000067 0.000097
2025-08-10 3.426637e-06 8.148974e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000046 0.000071 0.000105
2025-08-17 2.463530e-06 6.702851e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000046 0.000072 0.000109
2025-08-24 1.816621e-06 5.667068e-06 0.000013 0.000026 0.000046 0.000074 0.000114
2025-08-31 1.401623e-06 4.985163e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000047 0.000077 0.000121
2025-09-07 1.049795e-06 4.324896e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000047 0.000079 0.000128
2025-09-14 7.517016e-07 3.674764e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000047 0.000081 0.000133
2025-09-21 4.660952e-07 2.937992e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000047 0.000083 0.000138
2025-09-28 2.516827e-07 2.232719e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000045 0.000083 0.000142
2025-10-05 1.426260e-07 1.801337e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000045 0.000085 0.000149
2025-10-12 8.417335e-08 1.524616e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000046 0.000089 0.000157
2025-10-19 4.881393e-08 1.313969e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000048 0.000093 0.000167
2025-10-26 4.010825e-08 1.315587e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000052 0.000102 0.000183
2025-11-02 1.810702e-08 1.082388e-06 0.000006 0.000021 0.000052 0.000105 0.000191
2025-11-09 4.346134e-09 7.994124e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000051 0.000105 0.000194
2025-11-16 6.254829e-10 6.118077e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000051 0.000106 0.000200
2025-11-23 3.192495e-11 4.987231e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000051 0.000109 0.000208
2025-11-30 NaN 3.916911e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000052 0.000111 0.000215